DAGGRE Participant on PBS
If you attended our 2012 Fall Workshop in Maryland, you might recognize one of the analysts in the new HBO …
Author Archives:
Hello?!? Not All Forecasters Are Strict Positivists
Reblogged from Dart-Throwing Chimp: International relations is the most predictively oriented subfield of political science…Yet even in the other empirical subfields, the …
Why Chinese Couples Are Divorcing Before Buying a Home
Reblogged from World: Long queues of happy couples waiting to get married might be a common sight in Las Vegas. …
Autotrader and Macedonia
The Status Quo autotrader lost points on Macedonia, but at 100:1 potential gains I’d say it traded efficiently: Note that …
“Forecasting Fox” Op-Ed in NYT
In case you missed it, here’s David Brooks’ recent column on ACE in the NYT. It focuses on Tetlock’s …
Recent Posts at Dart-Throwing Chimp
Two great posts from one of TGJ’s top forecasters: Forecasting Politics Is Still Hard to Do (Well). Some Suggested Readings …
Calibration & Coherence
[Guest blog by Ken Olson, PhD.] In the latest issue of the journal of Judgment and Decision Making, Kadane …
Site Updated!
We just updated to v3.2 (Rev.209). Clear your browser cache! Notable Improvements: Scores and Availables are now correct (or as …
New Year’s Resolutions
Pending Resolutions The above Link Diagram [PDF] shows the combo network right now. All the nodes with red borders are …
Bugs & Bonuses
It’s the holiday bug & bonus report! Complicating our switch to combo and its sometimes surprising effects, it turns out …
