Recent comments on Q.276 (Foreign military conflict in Iran) show why conditional edits are so important. Participant bc… thinks the chance depends on who wins the US Presidential election:
2012-10-05 12:15 – bc… – In the event of a Democrat (Obama) victory in the U.S. presidential elections, it becomes nearly a zero probability of U.S. intervention, but the probability of a pre-21 January action by Israel goes up significantly. However, a Republican (Romney) victory would raise the probability of a Spring action by the U.S. either independently or in concert with Israel–but lower any probability of action before 21 January. It is highly unlikely Iran will provoke an attack before Spring of 2013.
Our combinatorial market will allow participants express conditions like that. At first only some questions will be related, but in time that will expand.
The “combo” market is in beta now (ask to test), with release scheduled for the end of the month. There will be plenty of training available at the November 10/11 Workshop, so if you’re on the east coast, please sign up!