Sudan and South Sudan reached a partial agreement in Addis Ababa. The agreement includes the oil exports from Sudan, the demilitarized zone and the principle of border demarcation. The agreement does not include the status of the disputed areas along the border, such as Abyei. The question with respect to border agreement lived very shortly on the market and we closed it with the Brier Score 0.73.
The market briefly pulled the estimates towards a “no” resolution, but recovered and closed at 95%.
This was probably the shortest question we ever had on the market. Thank you to those of you who invested in it from the beginning!