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DAGGRE Forecasters,

Questions 125 officially resolved today as a value of zero (“Will a foreign or multinational military force fire on, invade, or enter Iran before 1 September 2012?”).

This question was posted for about 240 days, and there was significant movement over this period, with the eventual trend towards the correct resolution value.

Lots of movement, with the eventual trend towards resolution.

The DAGGRE Brier score on this question is estimated as 0.1629.

A MITRE Brier score is estimated as 0.1629.

If you enjoy questions of this type, we encourage you to check out:

Q_276 Will a foreign or multinational military force invade, enter or significantly* fire on Iran before 21 January 2013?

Q_174 Will Iran successfully detonate a nuclear device, either atmospherically, underground, or underwater before 1 January 2013?

Q_217 When will the UN announce that Iran has signed an official nuclear monitoring deal with the UN?

Q_236 Will Iran blockade the Strait of Hormuz before 1 January 2014?

Q_274 Will at least one individual be convicted of the July 2011 killing of Iranian nuclear physicist Darioush Rezaeinejad by an Iranian court of law before 1 January 2013?