This weekend we closed Question 141 on the exchange rate between the euro and the Australian dollar. This was apparently a difficult question, as many of our participants thought that the euro will not fall below 1.2 Australian dollars too soon. The question also resolved sooner than the resolution deadline, which was the end of this year. Here is the Brier Score:
It seems that most of our questions related to the eurozone and the European Union are more difficult to forecast. We are looking forward for your comments on all difficulties you are encountering with respect to European Union topics!